31 October 2011

Week11

Week 11 is the last TWC lecture. The discussion held in this session was on Technology Assessment and Forecasting: Developing a Framework for Understanding What Comes Next. The focus was to forecast what may be the future technology and the methodologies we can used to predict the trend of emerging technology.

One interesting quote from the lesson is "Look before, or you'll find yourself behind" by Benjamin Franklin. I am deeply convinced by the truth in the statement. Foresight is essential for us to catch up with the progress of technology. If we are only content with where we are currently at, we may find ourselves to be disconnected from majorities with the presence of the state-of-the-art technology.

The video Prof Shahi showed about Siemens really amazed me. I did not realize the wide range of areas Siemens has been involved in until watching the video. The developments in sectors such as railways, water purification, healthcare and environmental compatible energy are really impressive. It is hard to imagine a company known to be close to me as manufacturing household appliances can contribute much more to society than we usually see. This is also the reason why we should not just stand on the spot and wait for things to be crystal clear on their own. Rather we need to explore and to venture into the world where technologies are more advanced than those we are normally experiencing.

There are various methodologies to assess technology and predict the emerging trends. What are top in the list are "analyzing the future potential of technologes", " supporting policy/strategy development" and "network building". These measures also facilitate the development in R&Ds as they allow the research to tap into vital arenas and set priorities to the relevances.

The methodology does give one a reference to where we will be heading in the coming future. However, it does not have a finite answer to the future. Besides the tools in helping us seek for the relevance, we have to have our own judgement on what we believe may come true in the days to come. Only what we believe and the actions taken will realize our imagination and foresight.

Like Alan Key says, "the best way to predict the future is to invent it."

Session Rating: 8/10

No comments:

Post a Comment